Trump leads Biden among Hispanics, registered voters overall: poll

46% of Hispanics said they would vote for Trump, while 40% said they would support Biden


A recent survey released on Saturday reveals that Former President Donald Trump holds a six-point lead over President Biden among Hispanic voters.

The poll, conducted by The New York Times and Siena College from February 25 to 28, gathered responses from 980 registered voters nationwide. Participants were asked whom they would support in the 2024 presidential election if it were held today.

According to the survey, 46% of Hispanic respondents stated they would vote for Trump, while 40% indicated they would support Biden. This marks a significant contrast from Biden’s support among Hispanics in the 2020 general election, where he garnered 59% of the Hispanic vote compared to Trump’s 38%, as reported by Pew Research.

Among all respondents in the New York Times/Siena poll, Trump leads Biden with 48% indicating they would vote for him compared to 43% favoring Biden.

In a hypothetical matchup between Biden and GOP candidate Nikki Haley, voters showed a preference for Haley by a margin of 10 percentage points. Haley received 45% support among all voters, while Biden garnered 35% support in the survey.

In the poll, Haley also held a significant lead over Biden among Hispanic voters. Forty-three percent of Latino voters expressed support for the former U.N. ambassador, compared to just 31% who favored Biden.

The recently released polling data aligns with other recent surveys, many of which indicate Trump gaining support among Hispanics while Biden’s support among this crucial voting bloc wanes.

A late December poll conducted by USA Today and Suffolk University showed Biden trailing Trump by five points among 1,000 likely Hispanic voters.

Similarly, a Univision poll from late last year suggested that Trump is making gains among Hispanic voters, with a 4% increase in support among this crucial demographic compared to a January 2021 Univision poll.

Earlier this year, during an appearance on “Fox & Friends,” Monet Flores-Bacs, the strategic director at the New Mexico-based nonprofit LIBRE Initiative, remarked that the conservative message resonates strongly with Hispanic voters.

“Unfortunately, Biden’s policies for Hispanics, and most Democrats, have been effective in the past, but now we’re experiencing the impact at the grocery store and the gas station. Even in the recent election, tax policies didn’t affect me and other young voters the way they do now. So, we’re feeling it in our bank accounts when we go to the grocery store. Our voting decisions will be based on these experiences,” she continued.

Echoing Flores-Bacs, Campus Reform correspondent Pedro Rodriguez previously stated on Fox News that the “answer lies within the pocketbooks” regarding support for certain candidates.

“Hispanics are entrepreneurs, and with the current state of America under Biden, Hispanics are finding it difficult to stay financially stable, and Hispanic small businesses and the entrepreneurial spirit are suffering,” he said. “Under Biden’s leadership, leftist policies have adversely affected young Americans. Financial insecurity among young Hispanics is currently at one of its highest points.”


“Young Hispanics are going to rally behind the candidate who can advocate for working-class families, mitigate inflation, and create better economic and entrepreneurial prospects here in the United States, without undermining the American way of life,” he added.

The new polling data emerges as Biden contends with the ongoing crisis at the southern border.

A recent Fox News analysis revealed that nearly 7.3 million migrants have illegally crossed the southern border under Biden’s administration.

The figure comes from U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), which has reported 961,537 border encounters in the current fiscal year, from October through September. If the rate of illegal immigration remains unchanged, the fiscal year 2024 is projected to surpass last year’s record of 2,475,669 southern border encounters — a figure that alone exceeds the entire population of New Mexico, a border state.

According to CBP data, the total number of southern land border encounters since Biden took office in 2021 is 7,298,486, surpassing the populations of 36 U.S. states.

Both Trump and Biden made visits to the southern border earlier this week, showcasing their differing approaches to border policy.

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